BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lake Mills

Class: A Class Rank: 36 Conference: A-3 Record: (10-16-0) Overall: (32-59-0) Overall Strength =   63.94

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 08/26/2011 Away    L      67.69  20  21    8 20 ( 57- 39-  0) Northwood-Kensett       3.72     -4.72                      
 2 09/02/2011 Home    L      44.28   0  43    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -19.69    -23.31                      
 3 09/09/2011 Home    L      43.22   0  42   ZZ  2 (  4-  5-  0) Garner-Hayfield       -20.75    -21.25                      
 4 09/16/2011 Away    W      78.31  27  19    8 17 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR           14.34     -6.34                      
 5 09/23/2011 Away    L      62.73   0  35   1A  1 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -1.24    -33.76                      
 6 09/30/2011 Home    L * *  56.26   0  37    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           -7.71    -29.29                      
 7 10/07/2011 Away    L * *  37.58   6  32    A 41 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -26.39      0.39                      
 8 10/14/2011 Home    L * *  41.29  21  35    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -22.68      8.68                      
 9 10/21/2011 Away    L      44.99   8  47   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP          -18.98    -20.02                      
10 08/24/2012 Home    L * *  39.29  22  38    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -24.68      8.68                      
11 08/31/2012 Away    W      60.26  28  20   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -3.71     11.71                      
12 09/07/2012 Away    W      70.04  34   7   ZZ 42 (  2- 16-  0) Burnside Southeast W    6.07     20.93                      
13 09/14/2012 Home    L * *  49.77  14  34    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman     -14.20     -5.80                      
14 09/21/2012 Home    W     110.25  41   0   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         46.28     -5.28                      
15 09/28/2012 Away    L      64.85  14  40    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock      0.88    -26.88  homecoming          
16 10/05/2012 Home    L      37.04   0  35   ZZ 13 ( 17- 13-  0) Gowrie Prairie Valle  -26.93     -8.07                      
17 10/12/2012 Away    L      31.31   7  46    8 17 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -32.66     -6.34                      
18 10/19/2012 Away    L      49.99   7  41    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -13.98    -20.02                      
19 08/30/2013 Away    L * *  56.86  18  20    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    -7.11      5.11  ND                  
20 09/06/2013 Home    W      75.69  41  14   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   11.72     15.28  ND                  
21 09/13/2013 Home    W      85.99  45   0   ZZ 41 (  2-  7-  0) Burnside Southeast W   22.01     22.99                      
22 09/20/2013 Away    L * *  58.34  28  43    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -5.63     -9.37                      
23 09/27/2013 Away    L      56.82   8  24   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         -7.15     -8.85                      
24 10/04/2013 Home    W     141.28  54   0    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock     77.31    -23.31                      
25 10/11/2013 Away    L      61.61   8  22   ZZ 13 ( 17- 13-  0) Gowrie Prairie Valle   -2.36    -11.64                      
26 10/18/2013 Home    L      41.74   6  31    8 17 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -22.24     -2.76                      
27 10/25/2013 Home    L      53.42   8  35    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -10.56    -16.44                      
28 08/29/2014 Away    L      64.82  20  28   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme          0.85     -8.85                      
29 09/05/2014 Home    L      75.28  28  40    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock     11.31    -23.31                      
30 09/12/2014 Away    L * *  53.84   6  49    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -10.14    -32.86                      
31 09/19/2014 Home    W      72.69  32   8   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring    8.72     15.28                      
32 09/26/2014 Home    W      98.38  55   0   1A 50 ( 14- 74-  0) Eagle Grove            34.41     20.59                      
33 10/03/2014 Away    L      66.14   6   9 1 1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         2.16     -5.16                      
34 10/10/2014 Home    L      44.42   0  36    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -19.56    -16.44                      
35 10/17/2014 Away    W * *  84.86  38  12    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    20.89      5.11                      
36 10/24/2014 Home    L      59.15  38  62   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             -4.82    -19.18                      
37 10/29/2014 Away    L      57.56  12  46    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       -6.41    -27.59                      
38 08/28/2015 Home    L      21.25   0  48   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -42.72     -5.28  ND                  
39 09/04/2015 Away    L      51.85   0  39    A  4 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.12    -26.88  ND                  
40 09/11/2015 Home    L * *  46.26   0  47    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -17.71    -29.29                      
41 09/18/2015 Away    L      50.26  12  14   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring  -13.71     11.71                      
42 09/25/2015 Away    W      50.95  28  24   1A 50 ( 14- 74-  0) Eagle Grove           -13.02     17.02                      
43 10/02/2015 Home    L      23.56   0  42   1A 36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area       -40.41     -1.59                      
44 10/09/2015 Away    L      51.99  28  60    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -11.98    -20.02  ND                  
45 10/16/2015 Home    L * *  38.29  15  32    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -25.68      8.68                      
46 10/23/2015 Away    L      58.72  14  42   1A 12 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             -5.25    -22.75                      
47 08/26/2016 Away    W * *  99.86  41   0    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    35.89      5.11  ND                  
48 09/02/2016 Home    L * *  54.77  23  38    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -9.20     -5.80  ND                  
49 09/09/2016 Away    W      82.82  31  21   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         18.85     -8.85                      
50 09/16/2016 Home    L      34.76   0  48   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -29.21    -18.79                      
51 09/23/2016 Away    W      69.52  34  26    A 45 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       5.55      2.45                      
52 09/30/2016 Home    W      64.08  28   7    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            0.11     20.89                      
53 10/07/2016 Away    W      59.26  13   6   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -4.71     11.71                      
54 10/14/2016 Home    L      73.99  10  24    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       10.02    -24.02                      
55 10/21/2016 Home    W      85.89  26  12   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg   21.92     -7.92                      
56 08/25/2017 Home    W * *  64.29  21  12    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork     0.32      8.68  ND                  
57 09/01/2017 Away    L * *  69.34  31  35    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman       5.37     -9.37  ND                  
58 09/08/2017 Home    L      62.25  14  21   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         -1.72     -5.28                      
59 09/15/2017 Away    L      56.33   0  30   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 -7.64    -22.36                      
60 09/22/2017 Home    W      69.95  20   8    A 45 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       5.98      6.02                      
61 09/29/2017 Away    L      42.65  34  38    A 56 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -21.32     17.32                      
62 10/06/2017 Home    L      35.69  21  34   1A 47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring  -28.28     15.28                      
63 10/13/2017 Away    L      47.56   0  44    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -16.41    -27.59                      
64 10/20/2017 Away    L      46.47  17  46   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -17.51    -11.49                      
65 08/24/2018 Away    L * *  61.34  14  26    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -2.63     -9.37  ND                  
66 08/31/2018 Away    L * *  56.86  12  14    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    -7.11      5.11  ND                  
67 09/07/2018 Home    L      60.42  28  48    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        -3.56    -16.44  ND                  
68 09/14/2018 Away    W      62.09  20  12    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -1.88      9.88  ND                  
69 09/21/2018 Home    L      46.89   7  32   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -17.08     -7.92                      
70 09/28/2018 Away    W * *  85.72  37   7    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    21.75      8.25                      
71 10/05/2018 Home    W      97.42  31  14   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           33.45    -16.45                      
72 10/12/2018 Home    L      60.67  30  42   1A 25 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -3.30     -8.70                      
73 10/19/2018 Away    W     114.33  28   0   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 50.36    -22.36                      
74 08/30/2019 Home    W * *  85.77  24   8    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      21.80     -5.80  ND                  
75 09/06/2019 Home    W * *  82.29  59  32    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    18.32      8.68  ND                  
76 09/13/2019 Away    L      67.99   6  22    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan         4.02    -20.02  ND                  
77 09/20/2019 Home    W      73.52  31   8    A 50 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             9.55     13.45  ND                  
78 09/27/2019 Away    L      68.47   6  13   1A 27 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg    4.49    -11.49                      
79 10/04/2019 Home    W * *  73.15  21   0    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     9.17     11.83                      
80 10/11/2019 Away    L      64.99   7  26   1A 16 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP            1.02    -20.02                      
81 10/18/2019 Away    L      37.24  13  52   1A 25 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                 -26.73    -12.27                      
82 10/25/2019 Home    L      39.76  13  56   1A 13 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -24.21    -18.79                      
83 08/28/2020 Home    W      85.11  20   6   2A 28 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            21.13     -7.13  ND                  
84 09/05/2020 Away    L      68.82  24  28   1A 30 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme          4.85     -8.85  was 09/04 now 09/05 AND  ND
85 09/11/2020 Home    W * *  86.15  34   0    A 49 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    22.17     11.83                      
86 09/18/2020 Home    W * *  94.01  40   6    A 41 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield      30.04      3.96                      
87 09/25/2020 Away    L * *  55.34  24  42    A 22 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -8.63     -9.37                      
88 10/02/2020 Home    W * *  92.29  49  12    A 47 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    28.32      8.68                      
89 10/09/2020 Away    L * *  92.84  16  20    A  2 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           28.86    -32.86                      
90 10/16/2020 Home    W     109.42  63  34    A  8 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        45.44    -16.44                      
91 10/23/2020 Away    L      84.56  14  21    A  3 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       20.59    -27.59                      
      Averages              63.94  20.1 26.7

Best game:  141.28 = 54 point win over Britt West Hancock
Worst game:  21.25 = 48 point loss to Belmond-Klemme
Team stdev:  21.23