BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Lake Mills

Class: A Class Rank: 36 Conference: A-3 Record: (10-16-0) Overall: (32-59-0) Overall Strength =   63.85

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/26/2011 Away    L    67.56  20  21    8  20 ( 56- 40-  0) Northwood-Kensett       3.68     -4.68                      
  2 09/02/2011 Home    L    44.17   0  43    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -19.71    -23.29                      
  3 09/09/2011 Home    L    43.15   0  42   ZZ  16 (  4-  5-  0) Garner-Hayfield       -20.73    -21.27                      
  4 09/16/2011 Away    W    78.20  27  19    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR           14.31     -6.31                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    L    62.63   0  35   1A   2 ( 93- 22-  0) Dike-New Hartford      -1.26    -33.74                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    L *  56.18   0  37    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           -7.70    -29.30                      
  7 10/07/2011 Away    L *  37.48   6  32    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield     -26.40      0.40                      
  8 10/14/2011 Home    L *  41.24  21  35    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -22.64      8.64                      
  9 10/21/2011 Away    L    44.90   8  47   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP          -18.99    -20.01                      
 10 08/24/2012 Home    L *  39.24  22  38    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -24.64      8.64                      
 11 08/31/2012 Away    W    60.23  28  20   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -3.65     11.65                      
 12 09/07/2012 Away    W    69.91  34   7   ZZ  49 (  2- 16-  0) Burnside Southeast W    6.02     20.98                      
 13 09/14/2012 Home    L *  49.57  14  34    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman     -14.31     -5.69                      
 14 09/21/2012 Home    W   110.21  41   0   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         46.32     -5.32                      
 15 09/28/2012 Away    L    64.72  14  40    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock      0.83    -26.83  homecoming          
 16 10/05/2012 Home    L    36.93   0  35   ZZ  26 ( 17- 13-  0) Gowrie Prairie Valle  -26.96     -8.04                      
 17 10/12/2012 Away    L    31.20   7  46    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -32.69     -6.31                      
 18 10/19/2012 Away    L    49.87   7  41    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -14.02    -19.98                      
 19 08/30/2013 Away    L *  56.79  18  20    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    -7.10      5.10  ND                  
 20 09/06/2013 Home    W    75.69  41  14   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   11.80     15.20  ND                  
 21 09/13/2013 Home    W    85.91  45   0   ZZ  48 (  2-  7-  0) Burnside Southeast W   22.02     22.98                      
 22 09/20/2013 Away    L *  58.12  28  43    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -5.77     -9.23                      
 23 09/27/2013 Away    L    56.75   8  24   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         -7.14     -8.86                      
 24 10/04/2013 Home    W   141.17  54   0    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock     77.29    -23.29                      
 25 10/11/2013 Away    L    61.47   8  22   ZZ  26 ( 17- 13-  0) Gowrie Prairie Valle   -2.42    -11.58                      
 26 10/18/2013 Home    L    41.65   6  31    8  16 ( 59- 38-  0) Ackley AGWSR          -22.23     -2.77                      
 27 10/25/2013 Home    L    53.32   8  35    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -10.56    -16.44                      
 28 08/29/2014 Away    L    64.75  20  28   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme          0.86     -8.86                      
 29 09/05/2014 Home    L    75.17  28  40    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock     11.29    -23.29                      
 30 09/12/2014 Away    L *  53.73   6  49    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -10.16    -32.84                      
 31 09/19/2014 Home    W    72.69  32   8   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring    8.80     15.20                      
 32 09/26/2014 Home    W    99.06  55   0   1A  50 ( 14- 74-  0) Eagle Grove            35.17     19.83                      
 33 10/03/2014 Away    L    65.78   6   9 1 1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area         1.89     -4.89                      
 34 10/10/2014 Home    L    44.32   0  36    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -19.56    -16.44                      
 35 10/17/2014 Away    W *  84.79  38  12    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    20.90      5.10                      
 36 10/24/2014 Home    L    59.05  38  62   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             -4.83    -19.17                      
 37 10/29/2014 Away    L    57.44  12  46    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       -6.44    -27.56                      
 38 08/28/2015 Home    L    21.21   0  48   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme        -42.68     -5.32  ND                  
 39 09/04/2015 Away    L    51.72   0  39    A   5 ( 79- 33-  0) Britt West Hancock    -12.17    -26.83  ND                  
 40 09/11/2015 Home    L *  46.18   0  47    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar          -17.70    -29.30                      
 41 09/18/2015 Away    L    50.23  12  14   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring  -13.65     11.65                      
 42 09/25/2015 Away    W    51.60  28  24   1A  50 ( 14- 74-  0) Eagle Grove           -12.29     16.29                      
 43 10/02/2015 Home    L    23.24   0  42   1A  36 ( 32- 51-  0) Pocahontas Area       -40.65     -1.35                      
 44 10/09/2015 Away    L    51.87  28  60    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan       -12.02    -19.98  ND                  
 45 10/16/2015 Home    L *  38.24  15  32    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork   -25.64      8.64                      
 46 10/23/2015 Away    L    58.60  14  42   1A  13 ( 60- 41-  0) Emmetsburg             -5.29    -22.71                      
 47 08/26/2016 Away    W *  99.79  41   0    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    35.90      5.10  ND                  
 48 09/02/2016 Home    L *  54.57  23  38    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -9.31     -5.69  ND                  
 49 09/09/2016 Away    W    82.75  31  21   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         18.86     -8.86                      
 50 09/16/2016 Home    L    34.67   0  48   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -29.22    -18.78                      
 51 09/23/2016 Away    W    69.41  34  26    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       5.52      2.48                      
 52 09/30/2016 Home    W    63.99  28   7    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW            0.10     20.90                      
 53 10/07/2016 Away    W    59.23  13   6   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring   -4.65     11.65                      
 54 10/14/2016 Home    L    73.90  10  24    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       10.01    -24.01                      
 55 10/21/2016 Home    W    85.81  26  12   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg   21.93     -7.93                      
 56 08/25/2017 Home    W *  64.24  21  12    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork     0.36      8.64  ND                  
 57 09/01/2017 Away    L *  69.12  31  35    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman       5.23     -9.23  ND                  
 58 09/08/2017 Home    L    62.21  14  21   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme         -1.68     -5.32                      
 59 09/15/2017 Away    L    56.21   0  30   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 -7.68    -22.32                      
 60 09/22/2017 Home    W    69.87  20   8    A  46 ( 34- 60-  0) Monona MFL-MarMac       5.98      6.02                      
 61 09/29/2017 Away    L    42.53  34  38    A  57 ( 21- 69-  0) Conrad BCLUW          -21.35     17.35                      
 62 10/06/2017 Home    L    35.69  21  34   1A  47 ( 26- 65-  0) Manly Central Spring  -28.20     15.20                      
 63 10/13/2017 Away    L    47.44   0  44    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek      -16.44    -27.56                      
 64 10/20/2017 Away    L    46.36  17  46   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -17.53    -11.47                      
 65 08/24/2018 Away    L *  61.12  14  26    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -2.77     -9.23  ND                  
 66 08/31/2018 Away    L *  56.79  12  14    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    -7.10      5.10  ND                  
 67 09/07/2018 Home    L    60.32  28  48    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        -3.56    -16.44  ND                  
 68 09/14/2018 Away    W    61.99  20  12    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union            -1.89      9.89  ND                  
 69 09/21/2018 Home    L    46.81   7  32   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg  -17.07     -7.93                      
 70 09/28/2018 Away    W *  85.61  37   7    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    21.72      8.28                      
 71 10/05/2018 Home    W    97.36  31  14   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP           33.47    -16.47                      
 72 10/12/2018 Home    L    60.60  30  42   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                  -3.29     -8.71                      
 73 10/19/2018 Away    W   114.21  28   0   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                 50.32    -22.32                      
 74 08/30/2019 Home    W *  85.57  24   8    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      21.69     -5.69  ND                  
 75 09/06/2019 Home    W *  82.24  59  32    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    18.36      8.64  ND                  
 76 09/13/2019 Away    L    67.87   6  22    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan         3.98    -19.98  ND                  
 77 09/20/2019 Home    W    73.45  31   8    A  51 ( 16- 64-  0) North Union             9.56     13.44  ND                  
 78 09/27/2019 Away    L    68.36   6  13   1A  28 ( 46- 48-  0) SumnerFredericksburg    4.47    -11.47                      
 79 10/04/2019 Home    W *  73.07  21   0    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler     9.18     11.82                      
 80 10/11/2019 Away    L    64.90   7  26   1A  17 ( 60- 39-  0) Aplington AP            1.01    -20.01                      
 81 10/18/2019 Away    L    37.14  13  52   1A  26 ( 41- 52-  0) Osage                 -26.74    -12.26                      
 82 10/25/2019 Home    L    39.67  13  56   1A  14 ( 62- 45-  0) Denver                -24.22    -18.78                      
 83 08/28/2020 Home    W    85.03  20   6   2A  29 ( 34- 58-  0) Forest City            21.15     -7.15  ND                  
 84 09/05/2020 Away    L    68.75  24  28   1A  31 ( 51- 41-  0) Belmond-Klemme          4.86     -8.86  was 09/04 now 09/05 AND  ND
 85 09/11/2020 Home    W *  86.07  34   0    A  50 ( 29- 62-  0) Greene North Butler    22.18     11.82                      
 86 09/18/2020 Home    W *  93.94  40   6    A  42 ( 43- 56-  0) Nashua-Plainfield      30.05      3.95                      
 87 09/25/2020 Away    L *  55.12  24  42    A  23 ( 54- 45-  0) Mason City Newman      -8.77     -9.23                      
 88 10/02/2020 Home    W *  92.24  49  12    A  48 ( 33- 56-  0) Sheffield West Fork    28.36      8.64                      
 89 10/09/2020 Away    L *  92.73  16  20    A   3 ( 95- 18-  0) Saint Ansgar           28.84    -32.84                      
 90 10/16/2020 Home    W   109.32  63  34    A  10 ( 75- 30-  0) Algona Garrigan        45.44    -16.44                      
 91 10/23/2020 Away    L    84.44  14  21    A   4 ( 79- 28-  0) South Winneshiek       20.56    -27.56                      
      Averages              63.85  20.1 26.7

Best game:  141.17 = 54 point win over Britt West Hancock
Worst game:  21.21 = 48 point loss to Belmond-Klemme
Team stdev:  21.24